Estimating the health effects of COVID-19-related immunisation disruptions in 112 countries during 2020-30: a modelling study.
Hartner AM, Li X, Echeverria-Londono S, Roth J, Abbas K, Auzenbergs M, de Villiers MJ, Ferrari MJ, Fraser K, Fu H, Hallett T, Hinsley W, Jit M, Karachaliou A, Moore SM, Nayagam S, Papadopoulos T, Perkins TA, Portnoy A, Minh QT, Vynnycky E, Winter AK, Burrows H, Chen C, Clapham HE, Deshpande A, Hauryski S, Huber J, Jean K, Kim C, Kim JH, Koh J, Lopman BA, Pitzer VE, Tam Y, Lambach P, Sim SY, Woodruff K, Ferguson NM, Trotter CL, Gaythorpe KAM.
Hartner AM, et al.
Lancet Glob Health. 2024 Apr;12(4):e563-e571. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00603-4.
Lancet Glob Health. 2024.
PMID: 38485425
Free PMC article.
For years of vaccination 2020-30 for all 14 pathogens, disruption could lead to a 2.66% (95% CrI 2.52-2.81) reduction in long-term effect from 37 378 194 deaths averted (34 450 249-40 241 202) to 36 410 559 deaths averted (33 515 397-39 241 799). ...We estimated that mitig …
For years of vaccination 2020-30 for all 14 pathogens, disruption could lead to a 2.66% (95% CrI 2.52-2.81) reduction in long-term ef …